Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.005287 0.005857 0.006474 0.007194 0.008014 0.008922 0.010006
2025-07-06 0.004277 0.005037 0.005925 0.007048 0.008441 0.010127 0.012345
2025-07-13 0.003759 0.004608 0.005650 0.007041 0.008871 0.011233 0.014567
2025-07-20 0.003460 0.004383 0.005562 0.007208 0.009485 0.012591 0.017261
2025-07-27 0.003147 0.004091 0.005339 0.007145 0.009752 0.013478 0.019393
2025-08-03 0.002912 0.003874 0.005183 0.007141 0.010077 0.014458 0.021778
2025-08-10 0.002693 0.003654 0.004995 0.007060 0.010263 0.015232 0.023932
2025-08-17 0.002540 0.003512 0.004902 0.007102 0.010630 0.016316 0.026748
2025-08-24 0.002374 0.003336 0.004741 0.007020 0.010781 0.017055 0.029066
2025-08-31 0.002195 0.003127 0.004512 0.006805 0.010686 0.017357 0.030614
2025-09-07 0.002082 0.003009 0.004412 0.006787 0.010916 0.018243 0.033414
2025-09-14 0.002033 0.002984 0.004453 0.007001 0.011563 0.019960 0.038178
2025-09-21 0.001906 0.002834 0.004292 0.006871 0.011608 0.020596 0.040902
2025-09-28 0.001788 0.002691 0.004133 0.006734 0.011627 0.021197 0.043704
2025-10-05 0.001706 0.002600 0.004053 0.006727 0.011889 0.022317 0.047937
2025-10-12 0.001660 0.002566 0.004064 0.006884 0.012486 0.024219 0.054511
2025-10-19 0.001581 0.002471 0.003964 0.006826 0.012641 0.025185 0.058928
2025-10-26 0.001518 0.002398 0.003897 0.006822 0.012906 0.026436 0.064423
2025-11-02 0.001448 0.002310 0.003797 0.006745 0.013007 0.027316 0.069094
2025-11-09 0.001401 0.002259 0.003758 0.006785 0.013364 0.028866 0.076176
2025-11-16 0.001341 0.002180 0.003665 0.006707 0.013450 0.029756 0.081466
2025-11-23 0.001267 0.002075 0.003516 0.006504 0.013229 0.029832 0.084134
2025-11-30 0.001223 0.002020 0.003459 0.006487 0.013440 0.031072 0.091133